+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Novelli
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
66% Strike Defense 51%
0.7 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Novelli
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Novelli Strike Defense —
▲ Novelli Takedown Defense —
▲ Novelli Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Novelli Tactics
Prospect"Jason Novelli is a prospect with decent striking metrics, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him a more one-dimensional fighter."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."