+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Varner
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
2.92 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
3.49 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Varner
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Varner Strike Defense —
▲ Varner Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Varner Tactics
Veteran"A well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling background and decent striking skills, looking to capitalize on his experience."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."