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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mullarkey

Orthodox Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
4.1 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
2.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
70% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mullarkey
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Mullarkey Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Mullarkey Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Mullarkey Tactics

Veteran

"Jamie Mullarkey is a well-rounded veteran fighter with a balanced skillset and a strong chin, but lacks a clear dominant style to take his career to the next level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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