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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rosales

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
7.19 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
1.12 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rosales
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Rosales Reach Advantage
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Rosales Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Rosales Tactics

Prospect

"Jacob Rosales is an aggressive striker with high volume and decent accuracy, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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