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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Makhachev

Southpaw Combat sambo
VS

Nelson

Switch Grappler
70" Reach 72"
2.45 Strikes Landed/Min 1.77
61% Strike Defense 48%
3.1 Takedowns/15Min 2
91% Takedown Defense 68%

Win Probability

Makhachev
56%
Nelson
44%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Nelson ▲
▲ Makhachev Striking Volume
▲ Makhachev Strike Defense
▲ Makhachev Takedown Defense
▲ Makhachev Grappling Output
▲ Makhachev Win Rate

Style Matchup

Combat sambo VS Grappler

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Makhachev Tactics

Veteran

"Islam Makhachev is a grappling-heavy veteran with a strong career trajectory and well-rounded skills."

Nelson Tactics

Veteran

"Gunnar Nelson is a skilled grappler with a strong submission game and solid wrestling skills, but his striking is not his strong suit."

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