+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Burns
Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-jitsuSubmission wrestling
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
1.86 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
41% Strike Defense 51%
2.94 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Burns
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Burns Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Burns Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Brazilian Jiu-jitsuSubmission wrestling VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Burns Tactics
Prospect"Herbert Burns is a promising grappler with a high takedown average and solid submission game, but needs to develop his striking to become a more well-rounded fighter."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
More Matchups To Explore
Gaethje vs