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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Ning

Southpaw Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
64" Reach 70"
2.66 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
1.09 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
62% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Ning
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Ning Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Ning Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Ning Tactics

Prospect

"Guangyou Ning is a well-rounded fighter with decent striking and grappling skills, but his record suggests he's a mid-tier competitor."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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