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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Soto

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
3.21 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
1.49 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
44% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Soto
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Soto Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Soto Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Soto Tactics

Prospect

"An aggressive striker with high volume and accuracy, but vulnerable on the ground and in takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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