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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Maynard

Orthodox Wrestling
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
1.92 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
66% Strike Defense 51%
2.91 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
81% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Maynard
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Maynard Strike Defense
▲ Maynard Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Wrestling VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Maynard Tactics

Veteran

"Gray Maynard is a seasoned veteran with well-rounded skills, showcasing both striking and grappling prowess, but his grappling defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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