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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Urbina

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
5.57 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
2.86 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Urbina
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Urbina Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Urbina Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Urbina Tactics

Contender

"Gilbert Urbina is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but his inconsistent record holds him back from reaching his full potential."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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