+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Rael
N/A Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
N/A Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
37% Strike Defense 51%
4.86 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Rael
38%
Gaethje
62%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Rael Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Rael Tactics
Unknown"Gilbert Rael is an inexperienced fighter with limited sample size, but his grappling skills show promise."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."