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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Burns

Orthodox Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS

Ferguson

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 76"
3.16 Strikes Landed/Min 4.91
52% Strike Defense 55%
2.04 Takedowns/15Min 0.39
53% Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Burns
52%
Ferguson
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Ferguson ▲
Striking Volume Ferguson ▲
Takedown Defense Ferguson ▲
▲ Burns Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Burns Tactics

Elite

"Gilbert Burns is an elite grappler with a strong record, high takedown average, and decent striking, making him a top contender with a well-rounded skillset."

Ferguson Tactics

Veteran

"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."

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