+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Sullivan
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
3.53 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
57% Strike Defense 51%
1.37 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
38% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Sullivan
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Sullivan Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Sullivan Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Sullivan Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Sullivan Tactics
Veteran"George Sullivan is a seasoned striker with a decent output, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped, making him vulnerable in the clinch."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."