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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Neal

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
5.02 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
57% Strike Defense 51%
0.54 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
87% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Neal
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Neal Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Neal Strike Defense
▲ Neal Takedown Defense
▲ Neal Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Neal Tactics

Elite

"Geoff Neal is a high-volume striker with a strong record and impressive striking stats, making him a top contender."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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