+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Lester
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.18 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
53% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Lester
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Lester Tactics
Veteran"Frank Lester is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking game, but his lack of grappling skills makes him vulnerable to opponents with better submission defense."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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