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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gonzalez

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
4.47 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
65% Strike Defense 51%
0.86 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
43% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Gonzalez
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Gonzalez Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Gonzalez Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gonzalez Tactics

Veteran

"Fernando Gonzalez is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but has shown vulnerabilities in grappling defense and submission defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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