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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mello

Southpaw MMA, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Shooto
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.86 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mello
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

MMA, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Shooto VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Mello Tactics

Veteran

"Fabio Mello is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game, but his grappling statistics are lacking, making him a more one-dimensional fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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