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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Dunham

Southpaw Wrestling, Boxing
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
5.33 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
1.82 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
79% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Dunham
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Dunham Strike Defense
▲ Dunham Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Wrestling, Boxing VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Dunham Tactics

Veteran

"Evan Dunham is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but his recent performances have been inconsistent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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