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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Juarez

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
4.21 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
25% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Juarez
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Juarez Tactics

Prospect

"Ernie Juarez is a promising young striker with high-volume output and decent accuracy, but his grappling skills are still a work in progress."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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