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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Chavez

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.79 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
0.89 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Chavez
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Chavez Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Chavez Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Chavez Tactics

Veteran

"Ernest Chavez is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking game, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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