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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Brener

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
4.76 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
0.99 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
76% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Brener
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Brener Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Brener Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Brener Tactics

Veteran

"Elves Brener is a seasoned striker with a strong record, high-volume striking, and decent grappling defense, but his lack of takedown skills holds him back from being a top-level fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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