+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Ellis
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
68% Strike Defense 51%
4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Ellis
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Ellis Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Ellis Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Ellis Tactics
Veteran"Eddy Ellis is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but his grappling skills are limited, making him a formidable opponent in the stand-up game."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."