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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Dober

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
4.48 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
53% Strike Defense 51%
0.61 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
58% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Dober
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Dober Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Dober Tactics

Veteran

"Drew Dober is a well-rounded veteran striker with a long career, but his grappling defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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