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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Evans

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.79 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
3.19 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
69% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Evans
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Evans Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Evans Tactics

Veteran

"Doug Evans is a well-rounded fighter with a solid record, but his striking and grappling numbers suggest he may be more of a journeyman than an elite competitor."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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