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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Shainis

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
67" Reach 70"
3.42 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
31% Strike Defense 51%
0.97 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
20% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Shainis
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Shainis Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Shainis Tactics

Prospect

"Don Shainis is a developing grappler with a strong takedown game and decent striking accuracy, but struggles with defensive striking."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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