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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Nunes

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
67" Reach 70"
2.72 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
1.18 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
65% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Nunes
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Nunes Strike Defense
▲ Nunes Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Nunes Tactics

Veteran

"Diego Nunes is a veteran fighter with solid striking metrics, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him a more one-dimensional fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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