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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Lopes

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.83 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
45% Strike Defense 51%
0.88 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
68% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Lopes
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Lopes Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Lopes Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Lopes Tactics

Veteran

"Diego Lopes is a veteran fighter with a long record and well-rounded skills, but his stats are not particularly impressive, making him a veteran presence in the 145lbs division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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