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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Brandao

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
64" Reach 70"
2.94 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
3.21 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
80% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Brandao
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Brandao Strike Defense
▲ Brandao Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Brandao Tactics

Veteran

"Diego Brandao is a high-volume striker with aggressive tendencies, but his grappling defense is a concern and he often leaves himself open to takedowns."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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