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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Smith

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
4.55 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
49% Strike Defense 51%
0.35 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
85% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Smith
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Smith Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Smith Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Smith Tactics

Prospect

"Devonte Smith is a well-rounded striker with respectable accuracy and volume, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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