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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Smyth

Switch Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.6 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
25% Strike Defense 51%
4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Smyth
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Smyth Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Smyth Takedown Defense
▲ Smyth Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Smyth Tactics

Prospect

"Devin Smyth is a developing grappler with a strong takedown game, but needs to improve his striking to reach his full potential."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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