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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mitchell

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
1.74 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
0.66 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
29% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mitchell
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Mitchell Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Mitchell Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Mitchell Tactics

Veteran

"David Mitchell is a well-rounded veteran with solid striking and grappling skills, but his defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to opponents with strong offense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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