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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mgoyan

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
5.67 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mgoyan
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Mgoyan Takedown Defense
▲ Mgoyan Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Mgoyan Tactics

Prospect

"David Mgoyan is a well-rounded prospect with a strong record and decent stats across the board, showing promise for future growth."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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