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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Downes

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
1.66 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
37% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
37% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Downes
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Downes Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Downes Tactics

Veteran

"Danny Downes is a well-rounded fighter with solid striking and grappling skills, but lacks finishing power."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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