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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Castillo

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
2.57 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
2.95 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Castillo
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Castillo Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Castillo Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Castillo Tactics

Veteran

"Danny Castillo is a well-rounded fighter with a strong striking and grappling game, but his lack of finishing power and defensive vulnerabilities make him a mid-tier opponent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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