Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rodriguez

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
7.2 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
57% Strike Defense 51%
0.51 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
64% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rodriguez
53%
Gaethje
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Rodriguez Reach Advantage
▲ Rodriguez Strike Defense
▲ Rodriguez Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Rodriguez Tactics

Elite

"An elite fighter with a strong striking game and a high volume of strikes, as well as a solid grappling game."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore