+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Hardy
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
2.46 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
0.73 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
35% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Hardy
48%
Gaethje
52%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Hardy Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Hardy Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Hardy Tactics
Elite"Dan Hardy is an elite fighter with a well-rounded skillset, possessing both striking and grappling abilities, making him a formidable opponent in the octagon."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."