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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Ismagulov

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
3.36 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
1 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
70% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Ismagulov
52%
Gaethje
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Ismagulov Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Ismagulov Strike Defense
▲ Ismagulov Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Ismagulov Tactics

Elite

"Damir Ismagulov is a highly skilled striker with excellent accuracy and defense, making him a top contender in his division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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