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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

McGregor

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
5.32 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
0.67 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

McGregor
52%
Gaethje
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ McGregor Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ McGregor Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

McGregor Tactics

Elite

"Conor McGregor is a highly skilled and aggressive striker with a strong background in knockout finishes."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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