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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Miller

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
3 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
0.6 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
38% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Miller
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Miller Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Miller Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Miller Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Miller Tactics

Veteran

"Cole Miller is a skilled striker with high volume, but his grappling skills are limited and his defense can be improved."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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