+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Punk
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Ferguson
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 76"
1.1 Strikes Landed/Min 4.91
40% Strike Defense 55%
0.87 Takedowns/15Min 0.39
N/A Takedown Defense 66%
Win Probability
Punk
27%
Ferguson
73%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Ferguson ▲
— Striking Volume Ferguson ▲
— Strike Defense Ferguson ▲
▲ Punk Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Ferguson ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Punk Tactics
Unknown"Punk's limited MMA experience and poor statistical production make it difficult to evaluate his skills and potential, but his grappling background is a notable aspect of his game."
Ferguson Tactics
Veteran"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."