+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Punk
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
1.1 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
40% Strike Defense 51%
0.87 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Punk
25%
Gaethje
75%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Punk Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Punk Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Punk Tactics
Unknown"Punk's limited MMA experience and poor statistical production make it difficult to evaluate his skills and potential, but his grappling background is a notable aspect of his game."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."