+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Punk
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Nelson
Switch Grappler
73" Reach 72"
1.1 Strikes Landed/Min 1.77
40% Strike Defense 48%
0.87 Takedowns/15Min 2
N/A Takedown Defense 68%
Win Probability
Punk
28%
Nelson
72%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Nelson ▲
— Strike Defense Nelson ▲
— Grappling Output Nelson ▲
— Win Rate Nelson ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Grappler
"Grappler vs Grappler — Grinding, tactical war on the mat. Takedown accuracy and ground control will decide this one."
Punk Tactics
Unknown"Punk's limited MMA experience and poor statistical production make it difficult to evaluate his skills and potential, but his grappling background is a notable aspect of his game."
Nelson Tactics
Veteran"Gunnar Nelson is a skilled grappler with a strong submission game and solid wrestling skills, but his striking is not his strong suit."