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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Erwin-Davis

N/A Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
4.06 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
4.25 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Erwin-Davis
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Erwin-Davis Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Erwin-Davis Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Erwin-Davis Tactics

Prospect

"A highly skilled grappler with excellent takedown ability, but needs to work on his striking defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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