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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mendes

Orthodox Wrestling
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
66" Reach 70"
2.78 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
67% Strike Defense 51%
4.13 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mendes
54%
Gaethje
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Mendes Strike Defense
▲ Mendes Takedown Defense
▲ Mendes Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Wrestling VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Mendes Tactics

Elite

"Chad Mendes is an elite fighter with a strong grappling game, but his striking statistics are impressive as well, making him a well-rounded fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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