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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Harris

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
3.79 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
1.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
55% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Harris
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Harris Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Harris Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Harris Tactics

Veteran

"Carlston Harris is a seasoned veteran with a strong record and well-rounded skills, but may be past his prime and struggling to adapt to younger opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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