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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Newton

Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Wrestling, Boxing, Taekwondo, Judo, Karate, Juko Ryu Jiu-Jitsu, Krav Maga, Kali, Aikido
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.65 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
2.47 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
43% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Newton
40%
Gaethje
60%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Newton Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Wrestling, Boxing, Taekwondo, Judo, Karate, Juko Ryu Jiu-Jitsu, Krav Maga, Kali, Aikido VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Newton Tactics

Veteran

"Carlos Newton is a seasoned grappler with a strong grappling game, but his striking skills are underdeveloped and he relies heavily on his grappling."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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