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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Leal

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
8.75 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
0.43 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
90% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Leal
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Leal Reach Advantage
▲ Leal Striking Volume
▲ Leal Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Leal Tactics

Veteran

"Carlos Leal is a veteran striker with an impressive record and high-volume offense, but his grappling skills are limited."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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