+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Rocha
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
1.24 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
52% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Rocha
43%
Gaethje
57%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Rocha Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Rocha Tactics
Journeyman"Carlos Eduardo Rocha is a grappler with a strong ground game, but his striking skills are underdeveloped, and his career trajectory has stalled in recent years."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."