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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Church

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Church
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Church Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Church Tactics

Prospect

"Cameron Church is a young and aggressive striker with impressive power and accuracy, but his limited experience and poor grappling skills make him a high-risk prospect."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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