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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

O'Reilly

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
1.9 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
39% Strike Defense 51%
2.22 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
36% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

O'Reilly
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ O'Reilly Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

O'Reilly Tactics

Prospect

"Brendan O'Reilly is a prospect with some skills in both striking and grappling, but his overall record is limited and he needs to develop his skills further."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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