+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
O'Reilly
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
1.9 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
39% Strike Defense 51%
2.22 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
36% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
O'Reilly
42%
Gaethje
58%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ O'Reilly Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
O'Reilly Tactics
Prospect"Brendan O'Reilly is a prospect with some skills in both striking and grappling, but his overall record is limited and he needs to develop his skills further."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."